· TS15 needs 50 additional private rented properties per year to keep up with current and future demand from TS15 tenants.
· Yet over the last 5 years, TS15 has lost 46 private rented homes.
· What are the 5 reasons the supply of private rental properties in TS15 are falling? What does this mean for tenants and landlords in TS15?
There has been a rise in demand for rental properties and an 8.9% fall in the number of TS15 private rented properties, which has caused TS15 rents to rise by 8.6% in the last year, a new all-time high.
The National Residential Landlords Association asked the respected economics think tank Capital Economics, to carry out research on the UK rental market. It found that if the current trends in the property market in terms of growth of the population, Brits living longer, the lack of new homes building, the reduction in social housing (aka council housing), then demand for homes in the private rented sector needs to increase by 227,000 homes per year.
So, based on those numbers, TS15 needs to have an additional 50 private rented properties per year.
The problem is the number of private rented properties in TS15 has reduced from 857 in 2017 to 811 in 2021, a net loss of 46.
So, why has supply of private rented homes in TS15 reduced?
1. Section 24 Income Tax
Section 24 was introduced in 2017 to level the playing field on the taxation of property between homeowners and landlords. Section 24 stops landlords from offsetting their buy-to-let mortgage costs against the profits from their rental property. Interestingly, no other kind of UK business is affected by the Section 24 taxation. In other words, whatever other form of business you might be in, be it butcher, baker or candlestick maker, every other business can offset their finance costs against their profits, except buy-to-let.
The issue caused by Section 24 Tax is that some landlords ended up paying more income tax than they really made in profit after paying their buy-to-let mortgages. Meaning on the back of rising TS15 house prices in the last five years, some TS15 landlords have sold their buy-to-let investments.
2. 3% More Stamp Duty for Landlords
When someone buys a property, they normally must pay a tax to the Government for the privilege. This tax is called Stamp Duty. Yet landlords must pay an additional 3% Stamp Duty supplement on top of that when they purchase a TS15 buy-to-let property. Evidence suggests some TS15 landlords have decided to hold off or scale back buying additional buy-to-let properties for their portfolio because of the thousands of extra pounds that landlords have to pay to buy the rental property.
3. Holiday and AirBnb Lets
Some TS15 landlords are converting their long-term rental properties into short-term furnished holiday and AirBnB properties. Whilst the hassle, stress and service levels are much higher, these types of properties do tend to make more money and aren’t as heavily taxed as normal lets. When properties convert to short-term lets, it removes another TS15 property out of the general supply chain of long-term rental properties.
4. Greater Legislation for Rental Properties
With more than 150 pieces of legalisation, and new laws being added each year, the burden on landlords is huge. On the horizon is the Renters Reform Bill which will remove the no fault evictions. Also, all rental properties with an Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) rating of below a ‘C’ will have to be improved (i.e. money spent on them) by the landlord. This could be more than £10,000 per property. Hence, why some TS15 landlords have been selling their rental properties with low EPC ratings in the last 18 months.
5. Accidental Landlords Selling Up
There are some TS15 landlords who are classed as ‘Accidental Landlords’. In 2008/9, with a slowing property market and house price values dropping in the order of 16% to 19% (depending on the type of property) some TS15 homeowners decided to let their home out as opposed to selling it at a loss. Yet, with the price booms of the last 18 months, many decided to cash in on the higher property prices and sell - again taking another private rental property out of the system.
So, why is demand of private rented homes in TS15 increasing, even though more people own their home in TS15 than 5 years ago?
Even with better provision of affordable social housing and higher rates of owner occupation in TS15 (rising from 76.86% of homes in TS15 being owner occupied in 2017 to 79.69% in 2021), demand for private rental property continues to outstrip supply.
There are many reasons behind this including:
1. People are living longer, meaning not so many properties are coming back into the mix to be recycled for the younger generation.
2. Net migration to the UK has continued at just over a quarter of a million people a year since 2017, meaning we need an additional 115,000 households to house them alone.
3. For the last two years, one in six of the owners of properties that have been sold have moved into rented accommodation instead of buying on because of the lack of properties to buy.
So, what is the outcome of the imbalance between supply and demand on TS15 rental properties?
Quite simply - TS15 rents have rocketed. They are 8.6% higher today than the spring of 2020 … and that’s on the back of rents being 9.3% higher in spring 2020, compared to spring of 2019.
The severe shortage of housing in the private rented sector is pushing up rents in TS15 as demand continues to grow. Many TS15 people are finding it hard work to find appropriate accommodation at a reasonable rent, and with mounting numbers of tenants predicted to continue, this situation will only get worse unless more houses are built.
My heart goes out to those TS15 tenants struggling with the cost-of-living crisis, only to then be hit by higher rents.
Yet, these higher rents are now enticing new landlords back into the TS15 buy-to-let market because of the higher returns.
With higher inflation, property investment has been seen in the past a safe harbour to invest one’s money in. With the bonus of rising yields (because of the increase in rents) together with the nervousness of the Bank of England to increase interest rates too much because of the issues in Eastern Europe, this could be the start of a second renaissance in the TS15 buy-to-let market.
If you have concerns about the issues in legislation and taxation, then the advantage of employing a letting agent, with the choice of property, what you pay for it and how it’s managed, will go a long way to mitigate them.
If you are considering getting into the TS15 buy-to-let market for the first time or expanding your property portfolio (whether you are a client of mine or not) please do not hesitate to give me a call and we can discuss these matters further.